WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The
number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment aid last week
rose to its highest level since May, but economists dismissed the
increase as weather-related and said the jobs market remained solid.
They
were also little perturbed by other data on Thursday that showed
factory orders fell in January for a sixth straight month and
fourth-quarter productivity declined by more than initially thought.
The reports, however, suggested some near-term weakness in economic growth.
"The
underlying fundamentals of the economy remain solid and there is no
reason we won't continue to see the type of economic growth and job
growth that we saw in 2014 continuing this year," said Gus Faucher,
senior economist at PNC Financial Services Group in Pittsburgh.
Initial
claims for state unemployment benefits rose by 7,000 to a seasonally
adjusted 320,000 for the week ended Feb. 28, the Labor Department said.
It was the second consecutive week of increases.
While
the Labor Department cited no special factors influencing the data,
economists said cold and snowy weather in February and a strike by
petroleum refinery workers were likely to blame.
Data for the week ended Feb. 21 showed a large number of layoffs in Kentucky because of bad weather.
"We
suspect the pattern reflects the weather rather than fundamental
deterioration. That said, we will, of course, be on watch for the
possibility that the rise in the last two weeks marks a change in the
trend," said Jim O'Sullivan, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency
Economics in Valhalla, New York.
The four-week
moving average of claims, considered a better measure of labor market
trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, rose 10,250 to 304,750
last week.
The claims data has no bearing on Friday's employment report for February as it falls outside the survey period.
Nonfarm
payrolls are expected to have increased 240,000 last month after rising
by 257,000 in January, according to a Reuters survey of economists. The
unemployment rate is forecast falling one-tenth of a percentage point
to 5.6 percent.
The economy added more than a million jobs between November and January, a feat last seen in 1997.
U.S.
stocks were trading higher on Thursday after the European Central Bank
said it would start its new government bond-buying program of 60 billion
euros a month on March 9 and raised its economic growth forecast for
2015.
Prices for U.S. Treasury debt were little changed, while the dollar rose to an 11-1/2-year high against the euro.
SOFT MANUFACTURING
In
a separate report, the Commerce Department said new orders for
manufactured goods slipped 0.2 percent in January after dropping 3.5
percent in December.
The
department also said orders for non-defense capital goods excluding
aircraft - seen as a measure of business confidence and spending plans –
rose 0.5 percent instead of the 0.6 percent advance reported last
month.
Manufacturing has been hurt by softening
demand in Europe and Asia as well as a strong dollar and lower crude oil
prices, which have caused some energy companies to either delay or cut
back on capital expenditure projects.
A
labor dispute at U.S. West Coast ports, which has since been resolved,
also has weighed on factory activity through disruptions to the supply
chain.
There is optimism the sector will regain momentum in the second quarter as some of these factors fade.
"There
are some signs that the core capital goods data might be starting to
turn the corner after a weak end to 2014," said Daniel Silver, an
economist at JPMorgan in New York.
A
second report from the Labor Department showed productivity, which
measures hourly output per worker, fell at a 2.2 percent annual rate in
the fourth quarter as the number of hours worked outpaced output. It was
previously reported to have declined at a 1.8 percent pace.
Productivity has been weak for much of the recovery from the 2007-09 recession, helping to boost hiring.
"Of
late, job growth has been extraordinary, but it now behooves employers
to quickly utilize these new hires as effectively as those already on
the job," said Doug Handler, chief U.S. economist at IHS Global Insight
in Lexington, Massachusetts.
In
the fourth quarter, hours worked increased at a revised 4.9 percent
rate instead of the previously reported 5.1 percent pace. Compensation
per hour rose at a 1.9 percent rate, rather than the 0.9 percent pace
reported last month.
That
left unit labor costs, a key gauge of inflation and profit pressures
that measures the price of labor for any given unit of output,
increasing at a 4.1 percent rate in the fourth quarter - up from the 2.7
percent rate reported last month.